RSU Tax Calculator: the April shortfall from 22% withholding
Most employers withhold a flat 22% on vested RSUs. Stacked on top of a salary, the same dollars are usually taxed at 24%, 32%, 35% or 37%. This estimates the federal shortfall, the payment that would generally reach the federal safe harbor, and the state gap — nothing is sent anywhere.
State tax, itemizing, prior-year tax, supplemental wages over $1M (optional)
The RSU Tax Planner workbook lays out every vest through 2030 — the gap on each vest, the safe-harbor amount as four equal quarterly installments with due dates, a per-paycheck W-4 equivalent, shares sold to cover, and the $1M line — in Excel, $149 one-time.
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Why the April bill happens
When RSUs vest, the value of the shares is ordinary wage income. Your employer has to withhold on it, and because a vest is a "supplemental wage" rather than a regular paycheck, most payroll systems use the IRS optional flat rate: 22%. That rate is the same whether you earn $90,000 or $400,000.
Your actual tax on those dollars is not flat. Vests stack on top of salary, so they are taxed in your top brackets — for tax year 2026, 24% starts at $105,700 of taxable income for a single filer, 32% at $201,775, 35% at $256,225 and 37% at $640,600 (joint thresholds are double, except that the 37% bracket starts at $768,700). The gap between the flat rate withheld and the marginal rate owed becomes the balance due in April.
A worked example
Single filer, $180,000 salary, $120,000 of RSUs vesting in 2026, standard deduction, no other income. Taxable income is $283,900. The RSU slice is taxed partly at 24%, mostly at 32%, and the top $27,675 at 35% — $36,200 of federal tax on $120,000 of vests, an effective 30.2%. Payroll withheld 22%, or $26,400. The shortfall is about $9,800, before state tax.
| Bracket | RSU dollars taxed there | Tax |
|---|---|---|
| 24% | $37,875 | $9,090 |
| 32% | $54,450 | $17,424 |
| 35% | $27,675 | $9,686 |
| Total on the RSU slice | $120,000 | $36,200 |
| Withheld at 22% | $26,400 | |
| Shortfall | $9,800 |
Change the salary to $120,000 and the vests to $30,000 and the same mechanics produce a shortfall of about $564 — the gap scales with how far the vests reach into the higher brackets, not just with their size.
Sell-to-cover does not close the gap
Sell-to-cover (or net settlement) sells enough shares at vest to fund the withholding — the 22% federal flat rate, Social Security up to the wage base, Medicare, and any state supplemental rate. It is a way to pay the withholding without writing a check. It does not change how much withholding is taken, and it does not compute your marginal rate. If your marginal rate is above 22%, the shortfall is identical whether you sold shares to cover or paid the withholding in cash.
The $1 million line
Once an employee's supplemental wages for the calendar year exceed $1,000,000, the excess must be withheld at 37% rather than 22% (IRS Publication 15). For most people this never applies; for a large vest late in the year it can flip the direction of the gap.
Safe harbor: the rule that avoids the penalty
Owing a balance in April is not itself a penalty. The underpayment penalty applies when withholding plus timely estimated payments fall short of a safe harbor. The federal rule: total payments of at least 90% of the current year's tax, or 100% of last year's tax (110% if last year's adjusted gross income was over $150,000), generally avoid the penalty. Withholding is treated as paid evenly through the year unless you show when it was actually withheld; estimated payments are due April 15, June 15, September 15 and January 15, and the penalty is computed like interest on each installment that fell short, so a large vest in December costs less in penalty than the same vest in January. There is also no penalty at all when the balance due after withholding is under $1,000. The calculator shows the 90% test, and the prior-year alternative if you enter last year's total tax.
Two mechanisms exist for getting there. Estimated payments (Form 1040-ES) are made directly. Alternatively, Form W-4 Step 4(c) lets an employee add a fixed extra amount of federal withholding to each regular paycheck, which has the administrative advantage of counting as withholding rather than as an estimated payment. Which is appropriate depends on facts this tool does not see.
State tax
States with an income tax usually have their own flat supplemental rate, and the same mechanics apply. California withholds a flat 10.23% on stock-option and bonus wages (6.6% on other supplemental wages) while its top bracket is 12.3% (plus the 1% mental health services tax over $1 million), so a California vest can carry a state gap on top of the federal one. Washington, Texas, Florida, Nevada and the other no-income-tax states have no state gap at all. Enter both rates in the optional section to include it.
What this calculator does not do
- It assumes your employer's regular withholding matches the tax on your salary alone, using the standard deduction (a standard Form W-4 with no extra withholding) — the default that creates the gap. If you add extra withholding, or your employer let you elect a higher rate on vests, the real shortfall is smaller by that amount. If you itemize, the itemized figure lowers the year's tax here but not the assumed withholding, unless your W-4 Step 4(b) already reflects it.
- It ignores other income (interest, dividends, a spouse's wages if you enter only one salary), credits, the Alternative Minimum Tax, ESPP and stock options. It models RSUs only.
- It shows Social Security and Additional Medicare as information; they are normally withheld correctly by payroll, with one exception — the 0.9% Additional Medicare Tax is withheld above $200,000 of wages regardless of filing status, while joint filers owe it above $250,000 combined. The Medicare figures treat the pre-tax field as 401(k)-type deferrals, which are still Medicare wages; Section 125 premiums and HSA contributions are not, so those slightly overstate it. The safe-harbor test here uses federal income tax only — Additional Medicare Tax and its withholding are left out and largely offset.
- It does not tell you whether to sell, hold or cover. That is a decision about securities, and it depends on things a withholding calculator cannot know.